And The Band Plays On?
Posted by TRO on May 7, 2008
Obama kicked Hillary’s butt in North Carolina. No surprise really with him winning over 90% of the black vote in a state with about 38% black voters. Lots of under-30s voted for him too - or the naivete of youth - but he lost big with working-class whites, including many of the working-class white males he had done well with in the past.
End result of North Carolina? Not much past probably winning him the nomination which he pretty much had sewn-up anyway. The Democrats will not carry North Carolina in the general nor will his monolithic black support help him much either, since blacks vote Democrat anyway.
Now on to Indiana. Hillary won, but barely, owing a big part of that slim percentage to the 91% black vote Obama captured. Again, Obama probably had the nomination sewn-up already so all this does is give Hillary pause about going on past Kentucky and West Virginia - both states she will win easily - and onto the convention. Again, the Dems will not win Indiana in the general and the same thing applies to the black vote there as it does everywhere.
And neither contest factors in the pissed-off Hillary supporters who have said they will vote for McCain over Obama - close to 40% in Indiana. A trend that will probably flow through all the states during the general although there will be some mending of fences between the two camps, of course.
All good news for McCain when you think on it, but there doesn’t seem to be enough Democrats thinking on it.
Bad for them, good for McCain.
So, all eyes are on Hillary. Will she stay or will she go. I hope she stays (and I think she will, but who knows) because watching the Dems tear themselves up is quite amusing and telling. Also, I can’t stand Obama so I do still hold some small hope he won’t be the nominee. Why, you ask, when his and her policies are pretty much the same - they’re both socialists after all.
Well, because Obama and his mentor Reverend Wright have done great damage to race relations in this country since he started running and I simply cannot fathom the increased damage he will cause during the general election. I would hate to see an election fought along racial lines (it already is as these primaries show), but frankly I don’t see how it will not be done that way. And it certainly won’t be McCain doing it; it will be Obama and his supporters who will call every attack on his policies and character and judgment a racial attack. And it will be because of continued stupid statements from the likes of Reverend Wright and the ever bitter and miserable Michelle “I had to pay back my school loans to Princeton and I am still pissed about it” Obama. It’s inevitable. There’s a whole deck of race cards just waiting to be laid out.
I could be wrong. I hope I am.
But I’m not.
QUICK UPDATE:
Here’s something interesting that sort of fits into my race card prediction above:
Question: Will white voters vote for Democratic Sen. Barack Obama in the fall?
Answer: Some will, but I predict most won’t. It’s not his race. It’s his politics. No Democratic presidential candidate has received a majority of the white vote since Lyndon Johnson in 1964. In fact, only 3 have since the Civil War (Samuel Tilden in 1876, Franklin Roosevelt 4 times and LBJ). I doubt Obama will. Of course, racism — or “fear-mongering” — will be blamed.
STILL ANOTHER UPDATE ON THE RACIAL DIVIDE:
At The Campaign Spot where they list a nice little group of media-types talking about whites not voting for him because he is black and, of course, not because of his lack of character, poor judgment or his socialist policies.
I don’t know whether they are trying to shame white voters into voting for him or simply preparing their excuses for a loss in the general election. Either way, it is only going to get worse.



May 8, 2008 at
It appears virtually certain that Obama will be the Dem’s nominee, and if McCain wins (please, God!), we will hear not only the race and fear-mongering excuses, but that, somehow, the election was “stolen, again.”
May 9, 2008 at
[...] It appears that my prediction about Obama’s response to any political attack was true. Of course, it’s not a race [...]